Why is the Indian Economy still affected by Floods and Droughts?
Rural India has been hard hit by the floods and droughts and it has
affected both rich and poor farmers alike. 60 % of India's 1.1 billion
population live outside cities. Agriculture contributes 17% to GDP but
more than 50% of people depend on agriculture for a living. Because of
this fact every major drought in India has cast it's shadow on the
Indian Economy.
To better understand how the Indian Economy is affected, the following
points are enumerated below: -
1. The service sector comprises only 10% of India's population but
contributes 58% to the GDP. Nanda Kumar, secretary of the Ministry of
Agriculture has said "We have managed earlier droughts. But we need to
move some people out of agriculture. I don't think that a 17 percent
share of GDP and a 50 percent share of employment are viable in the
long run. "
2. The government's response involves short-term fixes rather than
efforts to tackle the structural problems in the rural economy. A
study by the International Food Policy Research Institute noted that
India spent $25 billion in 2008 on fertilizer subsidies, but only $5
billion on agricultural investment -- even though investment yields 10
times more returns.
3. Only 14 per cent of the budget amount had been set aside for
agricultural development, which was inadequate for accelerating the
farm growth rate. Agriculture has become economically unviable on
account of low investment, both by the government and private sector,
and the delay in service delivery to farmers.
4. The farmers lack basic services such as education, roads,
electricity and housing. Due to low literacy rates they cannot resort
to other jobs to support themselves and this leads to an
overdependence on the money lender. The mass suicide of farmers in
2007 was a result of the crushing debt accumulated. The flagship
program NREGS has tried to alleviate the pain but it is still not
sufficient.
5. Consumer spending decreases during the times of flood and droughts.
All these factors contribute to a Domino effect leading to the Indian
Economy being adversely affected.
"Give a Man a Fish, Feed Him For a Day. Teach a Man to Fish, Feed
Him For a Lifetime." We need to be cognizant of this proverb and act
accordingly. The government granaries are well stocked to tide over
the drought but instead of handing out dole to the farmers during the
crunch time, the government should aim at making the farmers
self-sufficient. Effective utilization of existing resources can make
farmers less vulnerable to the vagaries of the monsoon. The govt.
should implement new policies encompassing more effective use of
groundwater and better monitoring of weather patterns and water
supply. Implementing village water-security plans, and encouraging
conservation and water recycling in the cities are also a step
forward to help the rural farmers.
One problem now, as opposed to in the 1960s, is that there are no
obvious technological breakthroughs to radically change the status
quo. During the green revolution, India introduced high-yield seeds
and fertilizers and expanded irrigation. Today, the challenge is more
nuanced, involving a nationwide coordination effort to improve
irrigation, better capture rainwater and conserve groundwater while
lifting production.
While India is making leaps and bounds in the Service Sectors it is
surprising that there is little technological advancement in the
techniques of farming and irrigation. India cannot let a ' No Rain'
scenario continue to affect the farmers and we must find a way around
it.
By
Suhasini N